April 2022 Numbers –

Overview/Fluctuations ~ Market Data:

Inventory inched up just a bit in April, and the comparisons to last year and the previous month’s data remain similar to the month before…down over last year, slightly up generally from the prior month, except for Pending Sales which are down a slight 1.3%. See below for more details on that. Total market time is down to 21 days, so activity is up as you’d expect in springtime & plenty of people are out looking for a limited number of homes. Rates continue to rise, so some of the less-than-typical/less-than-robust activity is traceable to that and to the low inventory that persists. It’ll be interesting to see May numbers as, anecdotally, Agents are noticing slowing and a bit of a pause in that usual Buyer-excitement cycle that distinguishes this time of year.
Rates: “We have seen continued pressure on rates as the Federal Reserve fights inflation. A 30-year fixed is at roughly 5.375%” Gary Boyer, Regional VP, Directors Mortgage

According to the RMLS Market Action Report  for the Portland Metro Area-April 2022:

  • There were 3,684 New Listings in April 2022 decreased 9.4% from April of 2021’s 4,065, and increased 4.6% from the previous month/March’s 3,521.
  • At 2,782  April 2022’s Closed Sales are down 5.6% from April 2021’s 2,946, and up 3.7% from the previous month/March’s 2022’s total of 2,683
  • At 3,005 April 2022’s Pending Sales are down 11.6% from April  2021’s 3,400, and down slightly at 1.3% below the previous month/March2022’s total of 3,045.
  • The Average Sale Price in April 2022 of $632,900 is up $75,000 from last year/April 2021’s $557,900, and up $22,000 from the previous month/March’s $610,900.  
  • The “Median” Sale Price (the price smack dab in the middle of all sales) in April 2022 of $560,000 rose from last year/April 2021’s $500,000 by $60,000, and $10,000 from the previous month/March’s $550,000.

March 2022 Numbers – Neighborhood Report

Overview/Fluctuations ~  Market Data:            

In the In the first three months of 2022 as compared with the same period in 2021, New Listings have decreased 1.3%, Pending Sales have decreased 3.7% and Closed Sales increased 1.2%.  So, basically Inventory is insanely low, & that fact is keeping the sales data (Pendings & Solds) low as well  for the quarter. BUT, as you’ll see below, though Inventory is still ridiculous, activity is picking up this month as it usually does and competition is still stiff, which means Appreciation is continuing to climb (see March 2022 & Neighborhood Report below).

Rates: “The Fed is trying to slow things down, and consequently right now rates sit at about 5.125%.”     Gary Boyer, Regional VP, Directors Mortgage                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          

According to the RMLS Market Action Report  for the Portland Metro Area-Mar 2022:

  • There were 3,521 New Listings in March 2022 increased 1.6% from March of 2021’s 3,465, and increased a whopping 37.0% from the previous month/Feb’s 2,571.
  • At 2,683  March 2022’s Closed Sales are up 5.0% from March 2021’s 2,556, and up another whopping 38.4% from the previous month/Feb 2022’s total of 1,939
  • At 3,045 March 2022’s Pending Sales are down 9.0% from March 2021’s 3,346, and up 24.2% from the previous month/Feb 2022’s total of 2,452.
  • The Average Sale Price in March 2022 of $610,900 is up $56,600 from last year/March 2021’s $554,300, and up $28,700 from the previous month/Feb’s $582,200.  
  • The “Median” Sale Price (the price smack dab in the middle of all sales) in March 2022 of $550,000 rose from last year/March 2021’s $488,000 by $62,000, and $25,000 from the previous month/Feb’s $525,000. ***I’m not a statistician, but it seems to me that the above similarities in Average –vs- Median increases indicate that homes are selling across all pricing spectrums in somewhat even distribution. Prove me wrong! ; ) If true, this surprises me as the current rate hikes tend to make it harder for first time home-buyers who historically tend to buy in lower price ranges.

February 2022 Numbers ~ Neighborhood Report

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Overview/Fluctuations ~  Market Data February 2022:               

In the first two months of 2022 as compared to the same period in 2021, New Listings have decreased 3.6%, Pending Sales have slightly increased at 0.6% and Closed Sales decreased 1.0%. Supply is still the drama queen affecting the local market and remains at historic lows, meaning Buyers are in heavy competition over what’s available. The other factor is rates. They are going to be going up, and not likely coming back down as low as they’ve been anytime soon, so if you’re wanting to purchase a home, it would be a good idea not to put it off.

Rates: “We have seen extreme volatility in the markets over the last few weeks. Right now 30-year fixed rates stand at about 4.125%.”Gary Boyer, Regional VP, Directors Mortgage                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          

According to the RMLS Market Action Report  for the Portland Metro Area- Feb 2022:

  • There were 2,571 New Listings in Feb 2022 increased 3.9% from Feb of 2021’s 2,474, and increased 11.4% from the previous month/Jan’s 2,307.
  • At 1,939  Feb 2022’s Closed Sales are down 2.0% from Feb 2021’s 1,978, and up 4.6% from the previous month/Jan 2022’s total of 1,853
  • At 2,452 Feb 2022’s Pending Sales are up 11.1% from Feb 2021’s 2,208, and up 7.2% from the previous month/Jan 2022’s total of 2,287.
  • The Average Sale Price in Feb 2022 of $582,200 is up $40,200 from last year/Feb 2021’s $542,000, and down a bit at $4,400 from the previous month/Jan’s $586,600.  
  • The “Median” Sale Price (the price smack dab in the middle of all sales) in Feb 2022 of $525,000 rose from last year/Feb 2021’s $479,100 by $45,900, and $13,000 from the previous month/Jan’s $512,000.

January 2022 Numbers ~ Neighborhood Report

Overview/Fluctuations ~  Market Data January 2022:       

Looking at the first month of 2022 as compared to the same month last year, New Listings have decreased 10.5%, Pending Sales have decreased 8.4% and Closed Sales increased 0.3%. Supply is still the biggest issue affecting the local market and remains at historic lows with less than a few week’s worth of inventory available.

The other factor is rates~ While they remain very low, relatively speaking (for anyone who remembers how high they’ve been in the past) they’re hovering around 3.875% right now and all predictions are for several increases this year. This factor would be spurring more Buying activity than we currently see but for the lack of inventory. That said, it remains a given that savvy Buyers ought to be taking advantage of these rates now, and, generally speaking, would-be Sellers would be well advised to List now rather than wait till later.

According to the RMLS Market Action Report  for the Portland Metro Area- Jan 2022:

  • There were 2,307 New Listings in Jan 2022 decreased 10.5% from Jan of 2021’s 2,579,  and decreased a whopping 44.3% from the previous month/Dec’s 1,599.
  • At 1,853  Jan 2022’s Closed Sales are up 0.3% from Jan 2021’s 1,847, and down 28.2% from the previous month/Dec 2021’s total of 2,582
  • At 2,287 Jan 2022’s Pending Sales are down 8.4% from Jan 2021’s 2,496, and up 17.8% from the previous month/Dec 2021’s total of 1,942.
  • The Average Sale Price in Dec 2021 of $586,600 is up $71,900 from last year/Jan 2021’s $514,700, and up $3,700 from the previous month/Dec2021’s $582,900.  
  • The “Median” Sale Price (the price smack dab in the middle of all sales) in Jan 2022 of $512,000 rose from last year/Jan 2021’s $460,000 by $52,000, and also $1,000 from the previous month/Dec 2021’s $511,000.

December 2021 Numbers, Neighborhood Report + Year End Comparison w/2020

Overview/Fluctuations ~  Market Data Dec 2021 (+2020):

Every year I like to add in a comparison at the end of the year to the year prior being as the December report offers a unique opportunity to look at just that. So, below you’ll find our usual monthly overview & Neighborhood Report along with a comparison; 2021 to 2020. I hope it gives you some insight that helps you increase your understanding of this area & maybe your own strategic options (if that’s relevant) a little better.

Inventory is now at a stunning 0.6 months of supply in the Portland area for December. Our supply has simply never been this low… a little more than 2 weeks of Inventory available. Rates as of this writing are hovering around 3.5%, and the Fed is signaling that rates will be rising.                                      

The twelve months of 2021 compared to 2020:New Listings, (40,531) increased 5.4%.Pending Sales (35,405) increased 7.8%, and –Closed Sales (35,182) increased 9.8%.   ***By Comparison, Twelve months of 2020 (to compare to 2021 above) from last year’s December report read: -New Listings, (38,442) decreased 5.2%, -Pending Sales (32,849) increased 7.9%, and -Closed Sales (32,031) increased 7.8%.

November 2021 Numbers + Neighborhood Report

Overview/Fluctuations ~  Market Data Nov 2021: 

What I call the Black Hole of the Holidays is upon us! Meaning- while it is an amazing time to buy a home, there is also shrinking inventory even from the low levels we already had. So… great time to buy- just fewer homes available from which to choose. All that said, when you look at previous years, you can see inventory always takes a dip this time of year as both Buyers and Sellers become distracted with all the trappings of the season. So…nothing out of the ordinary, except for how low supply has fallen. Right now if you’re selling, you can be sure that the Buyers who are looking at your home are savvy, serious, and probably a bit sappy : ) That means…get the cookies in the oven and play those old timey holiday tunes in the background!

Rates: “Rates are being pushed up a bit with continued inflation concerns. Right now they are at about 3.375%.”   Gary Boyer, Regional VP, Directors Mortgage 

 

According to the RMLS Market Action Report  for the Portland Metro Area, Nov 2021:

  • There were 2,229 New Listings in Nov 2021, down slightly at 0.4% from Nov 2020’s 2,238 and also down a whopping 31.0% from the previous month/Oct’s 3,232 (normal, seasonal stuff).
  • At 2,832, Nov 2021’s Closed Sales are up 3.2% from Nov 2020’s 2,745, and dropped 9.5% from the previous month/Oct’s total of 3,129
  • At 2,660, Oct 2021’s Pending Sales increased 4.0% from Nov 2020’s 2,557, and decreased 16.5% from the previous month/Oct’s total of 3,187.
  • The Average Sale Price in Nov 2021 of $575,600 is up $54,400 from last year/Nov 2020’s $521,200, and nearly the same as the previous month/Oct’s $575,200.   
  • The “Median” Sale Price (the price smack dab in the middle of all sales) in Nov 2021 of $517,800 rose $60,800 from last year/Nov 2020’s $457,000, and was also up $1,800 from the previous month/Oct’s $516,000.

October Numbers 2021 + Neighborhood Report

Overview/Fluctuations ~   Market Data Oct 2021:                  

We’re definitely watching the typical fall/winter slowdown across the board, BUT, in general we’re seeing improvements over the same 10-month period in 2020. Inventory which had started to rise slowly but steadily did take another slight dip in October. Listings increased 6.6% over 2020 during this time period, Pending Sales rose 9.0% and Closed Sales were up by 12.5%.

Rates: “Rates are at around 3.25% right now, however we are seeing continued upward pressure as the Federal Reserve takes steps to combat inflation.”         Gary Boyer, Regional VP, Directors Mortgage                                                                                                                          

According to the RMLS Market Action Report  for the Portland Metro Area, Oct 2021:

  • There were 3,232 New Listings in Oct 2021, down 8.1% from Oct 2020’s 3,515 and also down 14.0% from the previous month/Sept’s 3,760.
  • At 3,129, Oct 2021’s Closed Sales are down 0.8% from Oct 2020’s 3,155, and also down 1.2% from the previous month/Sept’s total of 3,167
  • At 3,187, Oct 2021’s Pending Sales decreased 0.4% from Oct 2020’s 3,199, and increased 0.5% from the previous month/Sept’s total of 3,170.
  • The Average Sale Price in Oct 2021 of $575,200 is up $58,700 from last year/Oct 2020’s $516,500, and up $3,700. from the previous month/Sept’s $571,500.   
  • The “Median” Sale Price (the price smack dab in the middle of all sales) in Oct 2021 of $516,000 rose $56,000 from last year/Oct 2020’s $460,000, and was also up $6,000 from the previous month/Sept’s $510,000.